Description:
The EA is based on the RSI-indicator, tested under Tadawul FX (4 points) and optimized for EURUSD M1!!!
TP: 20, SL: 80 => an accuracy of >80% is needed
For the period July 2010 until now:
212 trades, 189 profitable => accuracy: 89.15%
probability for H0-hypothesis, that the EA is not profitable: p<0.0001 (see here http://www.stat.tamu.edu/~west/applets/binomialdemo.html)
(but does anybody know whether normal distribution for trade-accuracy can be assumed?)
Recommendations:
- EURUSD, M1
- only for Buy-orders I could find convincing parameters (in terms of profitability and reliability)
- recommendations and comments are very much appreciated
| Symbol | EURUSD (Euro vs US Dollar) | ||||
| Periode | 1 Minute (M1) 2010.07.22 13:40 - 2011.01.14 20:31 | ||||
| Modell | Jedes Ticksignal (präziseste Methode, die auf allen nächsten verfügbaren kleineren Zeitrahmen basiert) | ||||
| Parameter | buy_bewegung=18; buy_period=2; buy_breakdown=2; buy_RSIv=30; sell_bewegung=8; sell_period=3; sell_breakdown=4; sell_RSIv=85; buy_StopLoss=80; buy_TakeProfit=20; sell_StopLoss=40; sell_TakeProfit=39; buy_MA=14; sell_MA=14; enable_buy=true; enable_sell=false; Trade_________________=true; Lots=0.05; Slipage=20; breakEven=15; TrailingStopLoss=false; MinMoney=20; Magic=102; | ||||
| Balken im Test | 173050 | Ticks modelliert | 2387128 | Modellierungsqualität | 24.99% |
| Fehler in Charts-Anpassung | 0 | ||||
| Ursprüngliche Einlage | 10000.00 | ||||
| Gesamt netto Profit | 726.47 | Brutto Profit | 1419.73 | Brutto Loss | -693.26 |
| Profit Faktor | 2.05 | Erwartetes Ergebnis | 3.43 | ||
| Drawdown absolut | 100.43 | Maximaler Drawdown | 181.74 (1.80%) | Relative Drawdown | 1.80% (181.74) |
| Trades gesamt | 212 | Short Positionen (gewonnen %) | 0 (0.00%) | Long Positionen (gewonnen %) | 212 (89.15%) |
| Profit Trades (% gesamt) | 189 (89.15%) | Loss Trades (% gesamtl) | 23 (10.85%) | ||
| Grösster | Profit Trade | 7.91 | Loss Trade | -31.61 | |
| Durchschnitt | Profit Trade | 7.51 | Loss Trade | -30.14 | |
| Maximum | aufeinanderfolgende Gewinne (Profit in Geld) | 26 (188.62) | Aufeinanderfolgende Verluste (Verlust in Geld) | 4 (-122.20) | |
| Maximal | Aufeinanderfolgender Profit (Anzahl der Gewinne) | 188.62 (26) | Aufeinanderfolgende Verluste (Anzahl der Verluste) | -122.20 (4) | |
| Durchschnitt | aufeinanderfolgende Gewinne | 12 | aufeinanderfolgende Verluste | 2 |
